NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7474272699c60eb240db4d859190c0efcf1c1c55084101e82e2ff84e1f8a95da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,078 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 68c | 118,595$81,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,424.4 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Islanders | 31c | 90,509$27,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,929.2 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Islanders | 39c | 19,080$7,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.22 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Islanders | 31c | 15,757$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.66 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 60c | 8,996$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.52 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 53c | 8,859$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 31c | 8,840$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.79 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bruins | 75c | 6,898$5,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.67 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Islanders | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Bruins | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bruins | 41c | 4,998$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.47 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 50c | 4,625$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bruins | 54c | 4,507$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.54 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Bruins | 41c | 3,634$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.15 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Bruins | 40c | 3,362$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.2 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bruins | 62c | 3,038$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.24 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 49c | 3,037$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.79 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 41c | 2,886$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.97 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 60c | 2,842$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.12 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bruins | 46c | 2,799$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.19 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bruins | 40c | 2,429$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.64 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…eca5backed Bruins | 41c | 2,294$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…67a2backed Islanders | 59c | 2,294$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…cb61backed Islanders | 59c | 2,081$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…1279backed Bruins | 41c | 2,081$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…809fbacked Bruins | 41c | 2,072$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa523…5ce6backed Islanders | 59c | 2,072$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…62b9backed Bruins | 41c | 2,004$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x262b…5832backed Islanders | 59c | 2,004$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c08…79ffbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,914$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…98b1backed Bruins | 41c | 1,914$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…6ed3backed Bruins | 41c | 1,885$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…fc9bbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,885$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…74a3backed Islanders | 59c | 1,879$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05db…0c4fbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,879$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…ec0abacked Islanders | 59c | 1,867$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…fd1ebacked Bruins | 41c | 1,867$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…a816backed Bruins | 41c | 1,843$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…66acbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,843$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…b2febacked Bruins | 41c | 1,823$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…45b9backed Islanders | 59c | 1,823$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.44per pick | 53cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…3a8bbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,803$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc47…db80backed Bruins | 41c | 1,803$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…bd1ebacked Bruins | 41c | 1,780$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4544…e55fbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,780$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…732ebacked Islanders | 59c | 1,745$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…67d1backed Bruins | 41c | 1,745$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…fcefbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,714$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…b3a4backed Bruins | 41c | 1,714$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…73b4backed Bruins | 41c | 1,708$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…24b6backed Islanders | 59c | 1,708$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…bbe0backed Islanders | 59c | 1,683$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…6819backed Bruins | 41c | 1,683$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…25bcbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,655$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…22a7backed Bruins | 41c | 1,655$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…780abacked Bruins | 41c | 1,650$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…6fcdbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,650$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…b826backed Islanders | 59c | 1,616$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…de33backed Bruins | 41c | 1,616$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Bruins | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…ad83backed Bruins | 41c | 1,579$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…736ebacked Islanders | 59c | 1,579$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e6…398cbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,568$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…b7a7backed Islanders | 59c | 1,568$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…7c46backed Islanders | 59c | 1,536$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd285…83c8backed Bruins | 41c | 1,536$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…85b4backed Islanders | 59c | 1,528$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…5b9dbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,528$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6920…5d00backed Islanders | 59c | 1,523$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…ad2bbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,523$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…fe11backed Islanders | 59c | 1,522$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6a…5f39backed Bruins | 41c | 1,522$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…9b16backed Bruins | 41c | 1,521$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…233cbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,521$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…516dbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,505$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…6b1abacked Bruins | 41c | 1,505$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…1320backed Bruins | 41c | 1,495$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…d9a8backed Islanders | 59c | 1,495$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bruins | 41c | 1,450$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 43c | 1,450$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…7b0dbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,444$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…292bbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,444$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616e…3bcebacked Bruins | 41c | 1,439$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985a…e1bdbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,439$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4c…c668backed Islanders | 59c | 1,422$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…ab6fbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,422$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30b…d360backed Islanders | 59c | 1,411$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.49 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…2ccabacked Bruins | 41c | 1,411$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Islanders | 60c | 1,406$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.43 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6cdebacked Islanders | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…2022backed Islanders | 59c | 1,371$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…21a5backed Bruins | 41c | 1,371$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7880…d272backed Islanders | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…f5b4backed Bruins | 41c | 1,356$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…62ffbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,337$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef8…2a33backed Islanders | 59c | 1,337$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…76b5backed Islanders | 59c | 1,337$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…a59cbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,337$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Bruins | 40c | 1,332$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.44 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Islandersthis page
- Bruins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.