Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea40115b1fdcbcc73c7172e0beb4c8506e5d48f794470169a38dc27219bbf24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed No | 45c | 8,900$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 55c | 8,847$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 55c | 7,853$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 45c | 7,853$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed6…da8abacked Yes | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 46c | 1,540$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.66 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 19c | 1,522$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.11 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 1c | 1,471$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 46c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.94 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 55c | 910.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.92 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 54c | 884.34$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.17 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 56c | 829.98$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked No | 44c | 789.96$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 43c | 668.72$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.87 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 55c | 534$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 59c | 360.05$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 52c | 164.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed No | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed No | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 52c | 111.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa240…a10ebacked No | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…5bbabacked Yes | 56c | 105.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 55c | 104.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…afbdbacked Yes | 54c | 99.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…2e71backed Yes | 54c | 99.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…3387backed Yes | 54c | 99.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…44ecbacked Yes | 54c | 99.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…9caebacked Yes | 54c | 99.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…86a2backed Yes | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…e143backed Yes | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…7f95backed No | 48c | 98.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…c2cfbacked No | 48c | 98.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…a51fbacked No | 47c | 98.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…a68ebacked No | 47c | 98.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…65a2backed No | 47c | 98.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…6221backed No | 47c | 98.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb133…de17backed Yes | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…d1d4backed No | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…7710backed No | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 53c | 86.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 52c | 77.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked No | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…f8e7backed Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 45c | 70.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked No | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…6cf8backed No | 47c | 67.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…02cabacked Yes | 53c | 60.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…8ac2backed No | 47c | 59.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…860ebacked No | 47c | 50.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb4…6681backed Yes | 54c | 50.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…eb90backed No | 47c | 49.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 64c | 48.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…72dfbacked Yes | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…cd40backed No | 46c | 43.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…5703backed No | 47c | 43.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed Yes | 54c | 43.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…fbdabacked Yes | 53c | 42.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Yes | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bb…b914backed No | 47c | 39.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 63c | 39.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…d7afbacked No | 46c | 38.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…5b54backed Yes | 55c | 36.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…e7d9backed Yes | 53c | 36.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…b502backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…40e9backed No | 45c | 33.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…098cbacked Yes | 54c | 33.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…9179backed Yes | 53c | 31.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9c…e8a3backed Yes | 53c | 30.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…e8d7backed No | 47c | 30.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…154ebacked Yes | 54c | 29.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…2c83backed No | 45c | 29.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 53c | 27.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af1…321ebacked No | 46c | 25.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104e…04adbacked No | 47c | 25.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…1918backed Yes | 55c | 25.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…e728backed No | 47c | 24.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…857fbacked Yes | 56c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6080…9019backed Yes | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…1cd3backed No | 47c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…f7d6backed No | 45c | 23.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 48c | 23.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-04?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2024-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.