NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc1f1403dc0a15a9197a5f3d3a1818569584a6198db4e6e059d9dee3eb026f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Patriots | 28c | 7,521$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.93 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bears | 72c | 5,345$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.4 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Patriots | 67c | 4,538$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.08 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots | 28c | 4,497$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.75 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…a89fbacked Bears | 72c | 3,932$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 50c | 2,296$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.9 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bears | 72c | 2,048$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Patriots | 27c | 1,687$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.68 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Patriots | 28c | 1,510$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Patriots | 28c | 1,510$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Bears | 72c | 1,510$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Bears | 72c | 1,510$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…f169backed Bears | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…b11bbacked Patriots | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…07d3backed Patriots | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +90%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Bears | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…9370backed Bears | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Patriots | 33c | 996.96$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.96 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaed…de05backed Patriots | 28c | 949.15$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Patriots | 67c | 878.26$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.82 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Bears | 51c | 876.41$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Patriots | 28c | 834.92$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.14 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Bears | 33c | 756.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bears | 73c | 741$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.93 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c8…6060backed Bears | 73c | 726.01$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb6…2235backed Bears | 73c | 690.41$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Patriots | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…b428backed Bears | 44c | 679.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Patriots | 78c | 629.54$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Patriots | 28c | 629.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…4216backed Patriots | 29c | 601.03$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…55ecbacked Bears | 55c | 534.34$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Patriots | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bears | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…3df8backed Patriots | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 72c | 499.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Patriots | 27c | 499.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.94 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Bears | 72c | 451$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bears | 71c | 443.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c53…ef99backed Patriots | 28c | 439.61$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…975abacked Bears | 72c | 436$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Bears | 59c | 423.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked Bears | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bears | 51c | 364.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Patriots | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Patriots | 40c | 342.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Bears | 56c | 338.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Patriots | 28c | 335.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.87 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Bears | 72c | 320$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Patriots | 28c | 320$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…0546backed Bears | 72c | 313.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…76b7backed Patriots | 29c | 287.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Patriots | 44c | 283.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Bears | 73c | 275$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…365fbacked Patriots | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…b8fdbacked Patriots | 79c | 251.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Patriots | 60c | 237.72$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Bears | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 74%57 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Bears | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Bears | 72c | 200$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486c…3d03backed Patriots | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Patriots | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…2f63backed Patriots | 29c | 193.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Patriots | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…c738backed Patriots | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Patriots | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Patriots | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Patriots | 35c | 164.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…986ebacked Bears | 72c | 163.26$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…0e8ebacked Patriots | 29c | 162.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bears | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Patriots | 28c | 149.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Bears | 65c | 142.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…89c9backed Bears | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…f2f1backed Patriots | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cd…c341backed Patriots | 29c | 138.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…0feebacked Bears | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Bears | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…a478backed Bears | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Bears | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…df54backed Bears | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…43a4backed Bears | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Patriots | 31c | 123.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Bears | 72c | 123$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Bears | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…d03bbacked Bears | 72c | 114.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Patriots | 79c | 111.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…e82bbacked Bears | 72c | 109.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…7aacbacked Patriots | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Bears | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Patriots | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…a7c9backed Bears | 72c | 100.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…7eefbacked Bears | 72c | 100.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…00e0backed Bears | 73c | 100.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Bears | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…a931backed Patriots | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…6bd4backed Patriots | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +116%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Patriots | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…edf3backed Patriots | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.