TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e80…59e8backed Seahawks42c68,347$28,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,975.272937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Cardinals14c64,162$9,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,136.717823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Seahawks79c34,961$27,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,431.4112570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Cardinals59c34,486$20,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,346.667041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals11c18,974$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.7420634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Seahawks41c16,368$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,698.9932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Cardinals2c14,222$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.036233.9%21 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Cardinals2c13,345$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.358218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Cardinals62c11,689$7,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,226.314736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaebe…de0cbacked Cardinals58c11,306$6,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,595.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Cardinals58c10,258$5,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,932.6144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Cardinals57c9,141$5,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,210.4125137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Cardinals31c8,362$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.3436246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff3e…c6e3backed Cardinals14c7,144$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6b…1262backed Cardinals34c7,026$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3712157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed Cardinals61c6,018$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Cardinals59c6,004$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.7327339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Seahawks39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.0835848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Seahawks30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8004658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba8…2b00backed Cardinals23c3,392$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce10…902bbacked Seahawks45c3,336$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.674665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Cardinals58c3,200$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8569645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Seahawks61c3,193$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.558650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Seahawks41c3,000$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.825848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Cardinals20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Seahawks43c2,266$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.2611738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals58c2,241$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Cardinals59c2,221$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.6715722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Cardinals14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Cardinals58c1,905$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.8914757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3275…e7fcbacked Seahawks53c1,889$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.684042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Cardinals39c1,799$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.025729.8%17 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals58c1,688$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.9539754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Cardinals57c1,643$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.094420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Seahawks63c1,642$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.013764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Cardinals18c1,232$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.886634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Cardinals58c1,163$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.52572%18 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Seahawks43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.792466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Seahawks48c1,149$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.616451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Seahawks41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Seahawks43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57014750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Seahawks67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c1…1b90backed Cardinals15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504316.3%7 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Seahawks42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9911945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Seahawks36c999.98$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.9928433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Seahawks42c979.81$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.2914022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Cardinals33c919.47$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.283116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Seahawks41c787.39$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.6110463.5%66 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc1c…4eb9backed Seahawks44c783.69$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.592147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Seahawks65c759.68$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Seahawks42c731.09$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0310738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd28a…6bdcbacked Cardinals2c660.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.222437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Seahawks59c660.28$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.4916259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Seahawks52c650.45$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2122638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Cardinals37c650$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Cardinals70c631.7$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4451361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Cardinals59c614$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.142972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Seahawks42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34810937.6%41 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Seahawks42c585.71$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7113260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Seahawks52c584.31$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4715252%79 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Cardinals55c500.02$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0128556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Cardinals58c476$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0819864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Seahawks42c444$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5220736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Seahawks69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.783557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Cardinals59c423.71$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.994178%32 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Seahawks30c397.26$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.427058.6%41 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Cardinals50c390.14$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.123148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8184…eba0backed Cardinals8c378.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5269…435abacked Seahawks43c376.58$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.65933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Seahawks60c370$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14810763.6%68 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Cardinals21c369.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6610960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Cardinals58c338$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.043056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Seahawks55c285.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.652828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd49…bfa4backed Seahawks51c280$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.63154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbea3…fb3dbacked Cardinals58c280$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Cardinals31c266.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.255541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Cardinals58c254.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5710842.6%46 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7d…3646backed Cardinals59c254.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Seahawks40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Seahawks41c245$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.559946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Seahawks42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Seahawks42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x827b…1eedbacked Seahawks36c236.97$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9712333.3%41 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Seahawks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.565939%23 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Seahawks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5613255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc828…8304backed Seahawks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.564555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfb8…54d7backed Seahawks43c230.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd51…0aebbacked Seahawks44c228.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.015560%33 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Seahawks44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.278348.2%40 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76fc…2270backed Seahawks35c216$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.42373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Cardinals59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Cardinals13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266338.1%24 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Cardinals11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Cardinals12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Cardinals59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x876d…5238backed Cardinals60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4d…5867backed Cardinals60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-59.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6019…f460backed Cardinals58c199.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.641560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…c9debacked Seahawks43c193.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+128.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.