Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cadf5c10f76e0dfe858e7d3b4c50fc48096d0d6c0b605fac89d2cc0adfa3126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 45c | 23,475$10,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,922.2 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 54c | 12,168$6,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,622.4 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Yes | 55c | 10,600$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 44c | 3,505$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.31 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.37 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,311$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.41 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 2,020$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.21 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 55c | 1,688$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.61 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 6c | 1,583$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.02 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed No | 62c | 1,583$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec1…f74ebacked No | 45c | 1,578$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,363$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed No | 70c | 1,350$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Yes | 23c | 1,343$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.97 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed No | 46c | 1,317$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,219$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.37 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked No | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 32c | 998.18$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.66 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Yes | 22c | 960.22$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 55c | 800$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed No | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 20c | 694.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 21c | 568.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 425.84$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ec…3344backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 77c | 389.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 77c | 339.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 21c | 326$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 14c | 310.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 46c | 289.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 279.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…c906backed No | 78c | 242.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…185cbacked Yes | 23c | 241.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 24c | 211.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…becebacked No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 21c | 177.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 79c | 177$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…d9d8backed Yes | 21c | 168.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Yes | 22c | 149.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 47c | 148$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd767…50bebacked No | 78c | 138.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 22c | 134.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed No | 45c | 131.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…a1f3backed Yes | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Yes | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked No | 52c | 63.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…7b07backed No | 80c | 62.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 77c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed No | 64c | 46.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…dc15backed No | 54c | 44.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…a6bdbacked No | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…4763backed Yes | 35c | 34.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…521cbacked No | 45c | 27.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 56c | 27.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…b715backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…13fabacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…471ebacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…a149backed No | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…0236backed No | 78c | 17.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked No | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…c444backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 79cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…3680backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…af71backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66f…93f8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?No won
- Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.