Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd226783f2690b9b6799586ac42b88e5b3fbc0a7385eaa2e833d50e1270876482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ba9…a9f2backed Yes | 54c | 90,675$49,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,039.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 46c | 66,342$30,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,506.65 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 50c | 51,994$25,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,997.24 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 46c | 49,198$22,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,701.02 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed No | 50c | 44,145$22,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,072.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Yes | 51c | 36,412$18,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,680 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 48c | 25,315$12,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,120.67 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 61c | 25,315$15,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,809.61 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 45c | 25,044$11,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,773.49 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Yes | 55c | 13,951$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 47c | 11,818$5,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,280.24 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Yes | 52c | 10,112$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 55c | 7,865$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.75 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 46c | 7,389$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed No | 45c | 7,043$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 50c | 6,200$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.63 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 50c | 6,151$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.27 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 46c | 5,754$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.24 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 57c | 5,298$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…1288backed Yes | 56c | 4,971$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 61c | 4,744$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…90afbacked Yes | 55c | 3,995$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 54c | 3,990$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.36 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 49c | 3,656$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 55c | 3,599$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.7 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 45c | 3,454$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…3882backed Yes | 58c | 3,454$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 43c | 3,404$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.07 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 22c | 3,223$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,961$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…7fa0backed Yes | 24c | 2,900$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…2429backed No | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…b528backed Yes | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 53c | 2,700$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 44c | 2,529$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.67 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,460$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 62c | 2,277$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 50c | 2,256$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 44c | 2,150$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.5 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 47c | 2,057$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.19 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8560…71b0backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1b25backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…dca0backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 45c | 1,866$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.81 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f5…e20cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,836$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,746$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,509$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.41 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 18c | 1,381$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.69 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 1,359$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.9 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 56c | 1,247$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.32 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 42c | 1,223$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.19 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…c510backed Yes | 54c | 1,147$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 55c | 1,093$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…6fc1backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 44c | 949.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.61 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 12c | 940.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…f897backed Yes | 57c | 877.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes | 18c | 846.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 52c | 798.06$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…77b6backed Yes | 40c | 747.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 50c | 719.76$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.88 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ed…58a7backed Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 56c | 711.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed No | 80c | 675.47$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…6628backed Yes | 50c | 670$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e030backed Yes | 57c | 626.38$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…e38abacked Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…0775backed Yes | 37c | 550$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 57c | 530.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…a8e9backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…97c1backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…e681backed Yes | 52c | 484.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 52c | 478.13$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…deb3backed Yes | 56c | 463.7$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 50c | 436.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 30c | 427.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Yes | 55c | 414.89$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…118fbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…283dbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 51c | 399.01$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec1…f74ebacked Yes | 49c | 399$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…e033backed Yes | 57c | 389.67$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 31c | 383.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 49c | 316.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 50c | 301.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Yes | 50c | 301.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 57c | 297.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…a1f3backed No | 48c | 297$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…16b0backed Yes | 41c | 296.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 289.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 27c | 289$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 55c | 281.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.