Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed504f8b96cf9503f1c589f5dea2d4648e4067962fd92006998eddadeb2e113f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 13,395$9,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.39 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Heroic | 30c | 8,268$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.55 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heroic | 33c | 5,555$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.05 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Heroic | 35c | 3,342$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.51 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 31c | 3,038$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.91 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Heroic | 21c | 2,551$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.51 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Heroic | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Heroic | 34c | 1,510$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,510$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,500$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 31c | 1,450$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.57 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,446$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.1 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,417$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.26 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,400$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.09 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Heroic | 36c | 1,389$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.51 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,235$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Heroic | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 33c | 972.97$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.08 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Heroic | 34c | 971.26$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.23 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Heroic | 2c | 936.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Heroic | 32c | 854.01$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 847.17$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 31c | 825$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71b…38b4backed Heroic | 34c | 787.68$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Heroic | 32c | 780$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 750.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.27 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…e22fbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 704.55$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…31a7backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 704.55$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 683.12$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 667.37$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.91 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 665.98$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…118cbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 664$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…d10cbacked Heroic | 34c | 653$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…5f79backed Heroic | 34c | 647$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…437cbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 636$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…0192backed Heroic | 34c | 626.54$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Heroic | 33c | 594.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 27c | 545.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Heroic | 34c | 518$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Heroic | 33c | 499.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Heroic | 3c | 469$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Heroic | 19c | 467.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…a9aebacked Heroic | 35c | 462.31$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…fc45backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 450.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…4137backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 443.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Heroic | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 424.24$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Heroic | 30c | 417.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 31c | 399.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…e797backed Heroic | 36c | 363.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…8ba1backed Heroic | 34c | 360.06$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 358.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic | 36c | 357.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 325.59$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 310.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 310$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Heroic | 32c | 303$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Heroic | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…7db6backed Heroic | 35c | 298.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…13f2backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Heroic | 18c | 298.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Heroic | 35c | 285.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 284.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heroic | 34c | 278$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…8102backed Heroic | 17c | 239.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Heroic | 21c | 230$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…d5bcbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 183$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Heroic | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 168.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Heroic | 32c | 157.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Heroic | 7c | 156.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 71cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Heroic | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Heroic | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Heroic | 19c | 108.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Heroic | 32c | 102.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Heroic | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.