Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd470471b819bbd951da21c713a7d4ff54102900503d451a2acb94d6bd6ed1069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Tearlaments
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tearlaments | 0c | 11,110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Tearlaments | 19c | 11,021$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.53 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tearlaments | 9c | 4,152$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.34 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…6382backed Tearlaments | 22c | 2,400$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…a397backed Tearlaments | 23c | 2,400$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Tearlaments | 24c | 2,251$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.7 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tearlaments | 18c | 1,760$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.58 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Tearlaments | 14c | 1,760$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.97 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…e255backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,734$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…8f7ebacked Tearlaments | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…8e76backed Tearlaments | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b5…10fbbacked Tearlaments | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…1981backed Tearlaments | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…7bd2backed Tearlaments | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…57e2backed Tearlaments | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tearlaments | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,477$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.49 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 1,394$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.28 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Tearlaments | 21c | 1,305$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Tearlaments | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff35…12e1backed Tearlaments | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…29a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…854abacked Tearlaments | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…22c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…a236backed Tearlaments | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…9c3fbacked Tearlaments | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…9182backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…014abacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 995$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 819.98$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.09 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adc…fba5backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b77…8b56backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…d759backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4710…1684backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…2728backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…defdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…13dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…43d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…78abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…5352backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…9b14backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d81…ac62backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…4cf4backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4a…000fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…e711backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…b305backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…b4fdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…96edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fa…8096backed Tearlaments | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tearlaments | 12c | 693.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Tearlaments | 16c | 618.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Tearlaments | 17c | 576.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tearlaments | 22c | 555$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tearlaments | 10c | 525$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Tearlaments | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tearlaments | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tearlaments | 19c | 421.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Tearlaments | 18c | 407.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…b3c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Tearlaments | 14c | 374.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Tearlaments | 22c | 345.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…3a30backed Tearlaments | 22c | 306.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tearlaments | 19c | 270.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Tearlaments | 8c | 259.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 246.15$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Tearlaments | 26c | 230.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Tearlaments | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 210.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Tearlaments | 15c | 202.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Tearlaments | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…cf3abacked Tearlaments | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Tearlaments | 26c | 155.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Tearlaments | 10c | 154.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tearlaments | 20c | 149.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 131.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…fb2dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tearlaments | 19c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…12edbacked Tearlaments | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Tearlaments | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…9b6cbacked Tearlaments | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b71…d04cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Tearlaments | 27c | 93.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Tearlaments | 13c | 89.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Tearlaments | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Tearlaments | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…b34abacked Tearlaments | 17c | 59.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tearlaments | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 54.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…2780backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 37.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.