NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6fe7402a5d58148dc670d620e6a048cdeb58a958ed226814ffb3ba4c6f3b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Sharks, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $681,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 41c | 76,647$31,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,308.74 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 60c | 67,566$40,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,121.52 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flames | 59c | 66,317$39,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,053.57 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks | 33c | 60,000$20,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,050 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Sharks | 39c | 53,319$20,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,979.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sharks | 41c | 42,452$17,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,405.31 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Flames | 59c | 40,422$23,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,573.01 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Flames | 60c | 39,089$23,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,635.65 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Sharks | 40c | 36,828$14,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,731.34 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 59c | 25,468$14,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,525.29 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Flames | 59c | 25,200$14,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,331.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Flames | 60c | 25,000$14,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Flames | 61c | 24,535$14,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,680.97 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Flames | 59c | 22,059$13,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,043.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Sharks | 42c | 22,008$9,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,243.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flames | 74c | 20,783$15,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.19 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Sharks | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 41c | 12,938$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290.22 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Flames | 59c | 12,034$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.94 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 34c | 11,840$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.65 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 71c | 10,881$7,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.73 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Sharks | 43c | 10,057$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Flames | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Sharks | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sharks | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Sharks | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Sharks | 18c | 10,000$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.16 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sharks | 43c | 9,968$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.2 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 61c | 9,850$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.88 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sharks | 43c | 9,559$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.78 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 58c | 8,995$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.85 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Flames | 59c | 6,842$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.23 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames | 61c | 5,500$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Sharks | 40c | 5,439$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.58 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Sharks | 35c | 5,325$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.76 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flames | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Flames | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 40c | 4,745$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.82 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 59c | 4,338$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.62 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flames | 59c | 4,250$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.5 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flames | 62c | 4,028$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.02 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sharks | 40c | 3,886$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.4 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Flames | 61c | 3,285$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.25 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 58c | 3,117$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.34 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flames | 59c | 3,042$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.22 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.97 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Sharks | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Sharks | 30c | 2,310$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Flames | 60c | 2,273$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.75 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Flames | 59c | 2,107$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.86 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 59c | 2,060$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.53 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Sharks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…5c0abacked Flames | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…e1e5backed Sharks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Flames | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sharks | 41c | 1,932$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks | 41c | 1,921$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.61 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks | 29c | 1,913$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.46 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 60c | 1,800$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 73c | 1,764$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.23 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Sharks | 42c | 1,763$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.17 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Flames | 75c | 1,750$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.32 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 40c | 1,700$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Flames | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 58c | 1,594$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.37 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 42c | 1,554$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.33 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sharks | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…bd76backed Flames | 59c | 1,429$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…2047backed Sharks | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sharks | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks | 25c | 1,386$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 59c | 1,379$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.6 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sharks | 41c | 1,260$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.84 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Sharks | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Sharks | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…b882backed Sharks | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…88dbbacked Flames | 59c | 1,190$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Sharks | 44c | 1,141$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Flames | 59c | 1,114$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.39 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 41c | 1,103$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sharks | 44c | 1,100$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sharks | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Flames | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Flames | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Sharks | 40c | 999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Flames | 57c | 989.6$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.92 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…72a3backed Sharks | 42c | 961.9$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sharks | 42c | 950$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 58c | 921.45$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.01 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Flames | 59c | 857.63$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.63 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…cb81backed Sharks | 42c | 857.14$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Flames | 59c | 826.08$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 63c | 817.04$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Flamesthis page
- Sharks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.