TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,446 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes30c30,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No70c20,543$14,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,162.99265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c7,484$5,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.013,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No55c2,844$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No71c2,762$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.682138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c2,453$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.8484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c1…b34bbacked Yes55c1,860$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes45c1,642$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.542133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c1,565$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.1944952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c1,042$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.335158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes53c1,025$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.65520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes35c1,000$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.552015%3 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c06…53bcbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c863$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.719934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes56c699.99$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.992944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No50c699.62$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.812560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed No46c599.97$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754420.5%9 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes44c472.33$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.022,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes43c438$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No62c434.67$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0610860.2%65 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No57c425$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.757417.6%13 W · 61 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes56c359.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes55c350.43$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No76c336.42$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8911644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes46c331.46$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.474837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No46c325.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.623345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c294.3$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5936136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No52c290.51$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4142844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Yes49c223.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No43c207.45$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2519736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes53c187.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes42c184.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7115224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Yes54c113.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.261136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No43c98.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.043669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-62.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc10d…4532backed No46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes53c79.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.635030%15 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No45c78.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.149855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No45c77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.359037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No46c73.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.825058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No43c73.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+71.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xec20…fb93backed Yes55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.815060%30 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…b812backed Yes54c55.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca13…1477backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No45c55.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.233847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Yes32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes42c50.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5f8…c2fcbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x017b…4e46backed Yes77c45.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes54c44.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.872157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9475…a29ebacked Yes55c41.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes55c41.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.791163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d82…14ddbacked Yes55c40.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d6…30babacked Yes46c39.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf517…2c9fbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09d…115fbacked Yes45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked No46c33.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.521855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+67.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed No46c30.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.212035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c28.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9174155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed No55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes57c24.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74dd…fc22backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.818145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3203…d145backed Yes56c18.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No75c14.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5712258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.