Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf356a587ce63b2d43b450124d6f10314876c2959ce0c36f7456fec3d2b5e7f57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 28c | 30,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.99 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 11,200$7,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 72c | 8,875$6,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.84 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 68c | 3,717$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.39 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 3,284$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.47 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 73c | 1,459$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.04 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 1,189$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.08 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 24c | 829.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.53 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 27c | 545.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 540.92$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.84 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 21c | 499.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.63 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 456.7$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.63 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 80c | 400$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 340.54$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.71 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 79c | 189$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 29c | 173.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 79c | 164.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 79c | 130$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 74c | 114.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 20c | 99.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 78c | 99.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 20c | 79.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 73.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 78c | 54.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 51.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 49.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 76c | 39.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…730abacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…32f6backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.