UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd69623e64d445bb8b0dd06d72d075527734a392fb94dee697761fa1b30417f3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tsarukyanof Hooker, Tsarukyan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,586,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,551,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,586,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hooker | 15c | 370,217$56,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,132.58 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Hooker | 14c | 272,699$37,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,291.59 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hooker | 13c | 200,000$26,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,181.81 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hooker | 15c | 90,263$13,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,150.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Hooker | 14c | 59,755$8,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,365.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hooker | 16c | 56,084$8,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,988.45 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Hooker | 15c | 32,542$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.02 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…953bbacked Hooker | 15c | 20,634$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hooker | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Hooker | 15c | 19,950$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Hooker | 15c | 19,464$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.31 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Hooker | 14c | 18,519$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Hooker | 14c | 13,810$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Hooker | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hooker | 14c | 9,055$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.56 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…19ebbacked Hooker | 18c | 8,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Hooker | 2c | 7,600$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hooker | 15c | 7,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Hooker | 14c | 7,258$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.17 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c05…4902backed Hooker | 15c | 7,206$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hooker | 16c | 6,100$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hooker | 15c | 5,714$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.12 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6720…177cbacked Hooker | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Hooker | 18c | 4,144$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.87 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Hooker | 14c | 4,100$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Hooker | 14c | 3,803$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Hooker | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…68e1backed Hooker | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Hooker | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Hooker | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Hooker | 19c | 3,114$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.58 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hooker | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Hooker | 14c | 2,402$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Hooker | 14c | 2,157$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d8d6backed Hooker | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Hooker | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…e751backed Hooker | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…276cbacked Hooker | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Hooker | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23dc…dd2dbacked Hooker | 15c | 1,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Hooker | 14c | 1,907$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…0e75backed Hooker | 15c | 1,754$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…2b11backed Hooker | 18c | 1,694$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Hooker | 15c | 1,531$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Hooker | 15c | 1,515$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…f0f7backed Hooker | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Hooker | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Hooker | 15c | 1,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Hooker | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…76bbbacked Hooker | 18c | 1,400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hooker | 14c | 1,354$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Hooker | 15c | 1,347$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…d1b3backed Hooker | 15c | 1,260$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393a…e88bbacked Hooker | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hooker | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Hooker | 14c | 1,128$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…1494backed Hooker | 14c | 1,110$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Hooker | 18c | 1,104$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Hooker | 15c | 1,084$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Hooker | 15c | 1,039$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Hooker | 8c | 1,019$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hooker | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…d648backed Hooker | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Hooker | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Hooker | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hooker | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Hooker | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c66cbacked Hooker | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…1469backed Hooker | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…c0e3backed Hooker | 15c | 993.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Hooker | 17c | 825$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Hooker | 10c | 800$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Hooker | 16c | 776.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…3ef6backed Hooker | 15c | 767.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hooker | 15c | 733.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Hooker | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hooker | 14c | 713$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…fae1backed Hooker | 17c | 705.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…9b48backed Hooker | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…9754backed Hooker | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Hooker | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Hooker | 13c | 693.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…0b4fbacked Hooker | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…4ffbbacked Hooker | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…266bbacked Hooker | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…4c9fbacked Hooker | 15c | 664.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Hooker | 15c | 606.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…ecb1backed Hooker | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Hooker | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Hooker | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…cbc1backed Hooker | 19c | 594.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa7…c7ccbacked Hooker | 15c | 577.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b05…870dbacked Hooker | 14c | 572.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Hooker | 14c | 571.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Hooker | 15c | 556.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0876…b9adbacked Hooker | 18c | 540$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…2f17backed Hooker | 15c | 531.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…e71abacked Hooker | 18c | 521.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Hooker | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…23a9backed Hooker | 15c | 486.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Dan Hooker win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.