College Football · resolved market
USC vs. Oregon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dbba955db4b0f562c5d2c4a3ff9c6bb5f7692bc3a2f56d81d6e1ba507a523de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregonof USC, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0140…9028backed USC | 23c | 27,010$6,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,092.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Oregon | 77c | 23,974$18,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.52 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed USC | 22c | 20,090$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.28 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked USC | 21c | 11,061$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.97 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon | 77c | 9,781$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.69 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Oregon | 73c | 9,110$6,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.76 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed USC | 5c | 7,610$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.49 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked USC | 22c | 5,378$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.38 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Oregon | 78c | 5,160$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.19 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oregon | 78c | 5,132$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.04 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Oregon | 79c | 5,122$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC | 15c | 4,914$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.94 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Oregon | 78c | 4,723$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.06 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…343cbacked USC | 17c | 4,407$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed USC | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oregon | 77c | 3,982$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.95 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC | 13c | 3,655$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.22 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…e31dbacked USC | 20c | 3,530$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked USC | 22c | 3,468$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed USC | 22c | 3,150$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed USC | 22c | 3,149$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.72 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon | 75c | 3,001$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.24 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked USC | 33c | 2,999$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oregon | 77c | 2,879$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…5d3fbacked USC | 25c | 2,300$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.89 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oregon | 77c | 2,107$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.81 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Oregon | 78c | 2,076$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.78 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed USC | 12c | 2,032$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.72 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed USC | 18c | 2,014$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.73 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC | 16c | 1,918$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.55 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed USC | 23c | 1,800$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.49 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…8f64backed USC | 6c | 1,685$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Oregon | 75c | 1,526$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Oregon | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed USC | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked USC | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed USC | 21c | 1,403$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oregon | 76c | 1,396$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.84 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked USC | 6c | 1,366$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…72f4backed USC | 22c | 1,355$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked USC | 15c | 1,200$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon | 76c | 1,050$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.38 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…b6f1backed USC | 23c | 1,031$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Oregon | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oregon | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed USC | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.74 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…c842backed USC | 7c | 983.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed USC | 18c | 954.54$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Oregon | 79c | 898.77$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.01 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed USC | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed USC | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked USC | 12c | 833.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oregon | 78c | 817$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Oregon | 77c | 799.94$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oregon | 79c | 789.23$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked USC | 21c | 754.51$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed USC | 6c | 727$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…ecf9backed USC | 22c | 723$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oregon | 79c | 650$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Oregon | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed USC | 34c | 594.12$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed USC | 8c | 549.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Oregon | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked USC | 21c | 493.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Oregon | 78c | 471$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed USC | 11c | 455.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…6788backed USC | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed USC | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…fd69backed Oregon | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…d977backed Oregon | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Oregon | 77c | 434.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed USC | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oregon | 75c | 417.38$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed USC | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oregon | 78c | 409$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed USC | 19c | 382.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed USC | 26c | 377.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Oregon | 75c | 372.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed USC | 23c | 334.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Oregon | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oregon | 78c | 317.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Oregon | 78c | 298$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked USC | 23c | 263.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Oregon | 78c | 257.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Oregon | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Oregon | 78c | 250.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…e4c7backed USC | 23c | 240.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked USC | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked USC | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked USC | 21c | 223.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…2008backed USC | 26c | 212.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed USC | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Oregon | 73c | 191.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed USC | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed USC | 9c | 180.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Oregon | 79c | 177.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Oregon | 78c | 173$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…478fbacked USC | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked USC | 26c | 160.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked USC | 23c | 149$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC vs. Oregonthis page
- O/U 59.5Over won
- Spread: Oregon (-10.5)Oregon won
- Spread: Oregon (-9.5)Oregon won
- USC vs. Oregon: 1H MoneylineOregon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.