TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb00…5d3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Premier League at 49 out of 100; worst College Football at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32.65
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$109.99
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$180
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+230.4%+$439.31
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$475.67
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$138.9
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$301.4
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$298.3
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$297.99
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+99.3%+$19.93
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.2
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$199.6
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$66.5
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+271%+$321.4
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$194
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$52.5
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$96.2
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+246.3%+$584.21
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$34.12
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$36.79
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.53
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+233.3%+$128.56
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.2
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170.93
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$351.4
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$87.94
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$268.73
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$110.39
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$311.99
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$350.69
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$96.6
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+733.3%+$739.2
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$237.4
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Tennessee vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$304
USC vs. Oregonbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$564.89
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$122.05
Florida State vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.2%+$1,150.11
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iowa State advance to the National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.