College Football · resolved market
Florida State vs. NC State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c8973af00743f38e34a70c0c6751e79993d28f5efde2d1d2c926b2974cf3555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Stateof Florida State, NC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $612,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Florida State | 71c | 75,667$53,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,917.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NC State | 46c | 52,919$24,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,402.49 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida State | 26c | 42,619$11,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,170.88 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Florida State | 39c | 40,000$15,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,768.84 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Florida State | 70c | 35,742$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked NC State | 38c | 29,434$11,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,164.82 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Florida State | 64c | 22,004$14,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,132.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida State | 12c | 21,857$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.53 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed NC State | 30c | 21,299$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,909.09 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked NC State | 31c | 19,220$5,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,261.8 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Florida State | 56c | 16,201$9,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,076.31 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked NC State | 29c | 13,615$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,614.75 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed NC State | 29c | 11,069$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.24 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked NC State | 30c | 11,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked NC State | 31c | 10,460$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,217.35 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed NC State | 43c | 10,060$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.47 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed NC State | 57c | 9,663$5,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.95 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed NC State | 61c | 8,858$5,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.03 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked NC State | 72c | 7,164$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.91 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked NC State | 71c | 6,868$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.15 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed NC State | 30c | 6,666$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.2 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed NC State | 30c | 5,499$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.3 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed NC State | 32c | 4,815$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed NC State | 29c | 4,550$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.29 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Florida State | 57c | 3,865$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Florida State | 1c | 3,550$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked NC State | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked NC State | 39c | 3,288$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida State | 63c | 3,053$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.39 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NC State | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NC State | 44c | 2,646$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.02 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Florida State | 35c | 2,639$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.93 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked NC State | 30c | 2,618$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.43 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed NC State | 56c | 2,521$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.58 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Florida State | 15c | 2,234$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.19 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed NC State | 56c | 2,069$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.01 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…5d3fbacked NC State | 43c | 2,020$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Florida State | 67c | 2,018$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.66 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida State | 70c | 1,667$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.25 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed NC State | 34c | 1,586$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked NC State | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed NC State | 32c | 1,382$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.19 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Florida State | 64c | 1,310$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.26 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…343cbacked NC State | 32c | 1,306$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…38fabacked Florida State | 53c | 1,282$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked NC State | 77c | 1,258$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.66 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed NC State | 41c | 1,224$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.67 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed NC State | 56c | 1,176$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.35 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Florida State | 68c | 1,141$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed NC State | 29c | 1,081$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.76 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Florida State | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked NC State | 73c | 1,006$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Florida State | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked NC State | 28c | 893$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.96 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NC State | 35c | 861.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.9 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Florida State | 32c | 794.22$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida State | 68c | 788$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.4 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC State | 56c | 780.5$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Florida State | 40c | 769$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.67 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed NC State | 67c | 741.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…490fbacked NC State | 74c | 700$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed NC State | 32c | 671.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Florida State | 69c | 665.91$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Florida State | 16c | 617.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed NC State | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Florida State | 65c | 598.65$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.05 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Florida State | 27c | 569.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed NC State | 31c | 565.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…d084backed Florida State | 62c | 560.27$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Florida State | 41c | 513.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Florida State | 2c | 505$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Florida State | 69c | 500.01$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…2e19backed NC State | 43c | 497.53$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed NC State | 31c | 492.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.77 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida State | 25c | 478.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Florida State | 31c | 468.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed NC State | 31c | 442.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.02 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…ad14backed NC State | 32c | 431.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…b825backed Florida State | 69c | 420.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed NC State | 31c | 409.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.77 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed NC State | 46c | 401$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked NC State | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida State | 66c | 346$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Florida State | 30c | 340.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed Florida State | 24c | 335.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdd…0cc1backed NC State | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed NC State | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked NC State | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bb…0723backed NC State | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Florida State | 27c | 282.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed NC State | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed NC State | 32c | 245.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…a4cbbacked NC State | 65c | 242$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed NC State | 42c | 239.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked NC State | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Florida State | 42c | 227.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…4030backed NC State | 34c | 222.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Florida State | 69c | 207.35$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed NC State | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…ed2cbacked NC State | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 44cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida State vs. NC Statethis page
- Florida State vs. NC State: O/U 58.5Under won
- Florida State vs. NC State: O/U 59.5Under won
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Florida State (-4.5)NC State won
- Spread: Florida State (-5.5)NC State won
- Spread: Florida State (-6.5)NC State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.