TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boise Stateof UNLV Runnin', Boise State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c81…fce3backed Boise State77c41,175$31,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,371.283056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Boise State67c37,063$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,062.619362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked UNLV Runnin'32c29,785$9,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,630.282528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UNLV Runnin'16c24,386$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,826.6162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed UNLV Runnin'33c20,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6006046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed UNLV Runnin'32c17,560$5,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,619.2116234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed UNLV Runnin'23c16,780$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.9793548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed UNLV Runnin'17c16,722$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.164841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNLV Runnin'8c16,676$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.6658850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Boise State67c15,121$10,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,989.9381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked UNLV Runnin'33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.963540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed UNLV Runnin'22c12,092$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.6626244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed UNLV Runnin'12c10,850$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.6113933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Boise State68c10,238$6,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.9429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed UNLV Runnin'33c10,152$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.2227246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked UNLV Runnin'0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Boise State67c8,895$5,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.2238450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Boise State69c7,791$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.6868440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed UNLV Runnin'32c6,500$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed UNLV Runnin'33c5,698$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.3414743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked UNLV Runnin'0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105028%14 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Boise State67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.611942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin'30c4,160$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.92,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Boise State67c3,394$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.032755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Boise State73c2,975$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.9917443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed UNLV Runnin'36c2,371$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.826842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed UNLV Runnin'7c2,084$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNLV Runnin'12c1,940$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4640541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed UNLV Runnin'34c1,810$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Boise State66c1,810$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaf8…4899backed UNLV Runnin'7c1,755$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked UNLV Runnin'34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV Runnin'11c1,454$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7657144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNLV Runnin'11c1,448$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7621538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked UNLV Runnin'31c1,038$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7614752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x071e…0d11backed UNLV Runnin'10c898.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Boise State64c730$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.811851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed UNLV Runnin'23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f80…bc84backed Boise State68c626.24$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.241090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed UNLV Runnin'33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked UNLV Runnin'34c605.88$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20617946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed UNLV Runnin'25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed UNLV Runnin'32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013242.4%56 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin'2c482.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.026051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed UNLV Runnin'32c425.06$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed UNLV Runnin'34c323.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8159…8d5cbacked UNLV Runnin'8c316.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UNLV Runnin'11c305.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7755350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb00…5d3fbacked UNLV Runnin'32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dfe…74c8backed UNLV Runnin'34c295$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed UNLV Runnin'34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Boise State67c291.04$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0429351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Boise State64c290.73$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6650358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Boise State63c273.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8128440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7402…31eabacked UNLV Runnin'32c268.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed UNLV Runnin'20c256.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7311022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed UNLV Runnin'33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.58142%34 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff1f…d5dfbacked UNLV Runnin'34c235$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Boise State66c235$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc49…0daabacked Boise State67c208.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.96911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-83.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Boise State65c206$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.152449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed UNLV Runnin'39c204$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed UNLV Runnin'34c203.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.92638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked UNLV Runnin'34c200.04$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.686241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked UNLV Runnin'34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Boise State64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Boise State70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6042244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked UNLV Runnin'5c192.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed UNLV Runnin'23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Boise State64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.613253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x967d…1ed5backed Boise State66c156$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0c…1833backed UNLV Runnin'34c156$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c815backed Boise State66c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d07…1fd5backed UNLV Runnin'34c155$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed UNLV Runnin'33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.528032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked UNLV Runnin'17c150$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.284143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…cd92backed UNLV Runnin'35c139.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc565…25fbbacked Boise State63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…210abacked UNLV Runnin'11c120$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…655fbacked UNLV Runnin'37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked UNLV Runnin'34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcde…dc58backed Boise State65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c76…8b35backed UNLV Runnin'18c103.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Boise State68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3256844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed UNLV Runnin'36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed UNLV Runnin'34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Boise State65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked UNLV Runnin'10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed UNLV Runnin'33c98.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.141,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…8052backed Boise State66c98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed UNLV Runnin'15c97.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed UNLV Runnin'31c90.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.973135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36ea…1fcbbacked Boise State68c78.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.98540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2085…dcc0backed Boise State65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Boise State68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked UNLV Runnin'27c70.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196030%18 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed UNLV Runnin'34c70.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.844951%25 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Boise State62c67.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.795154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52b…783cbacked UNLV Runnin'20c63.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.791513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed UNLV Runnin'33c60.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209250%46 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.