College Football · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise State: O/U 59.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299ca806878a52f84cb566bfacb9847282b66d579b8369669f343561dcfc3e1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Over | 51c | 8,500$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 6,684$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.83 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 6,416$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.32 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 968$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.28 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 259.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 105.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise State: O/U 59.5this page
- Spread: Boise State (-3.5)Boise State won
- Spread: Boise State (-3.5)Boise State won
- Spread: Boise State (-4.5)Boise State won
- Spread: Boise State (-5.5)Boise State won
- Spread: Boise State (-6.5)Boise State won
- UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise StateBoise State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.