TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof NRG, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$513,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0d…b006backed fnatic69c38,674$26,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,964.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG33c34,949$11,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,699.153,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed fnatic71c32,600$23,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,516.0245848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked fnatic72c31,755$22,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,891.4481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed NRG29c25,000$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2509247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked fnatic77c23,105$17,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,206.3922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NRG33c21,877$7,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,244.8967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed NRG30c12,539$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.619050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG31c11,746$3,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.051,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed fnatic69c11,152$7,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc85…3532backed NRG22c10,930$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.572548%12 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NRG29c10,726$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.660853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked fnatic62c10,422$6,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.357646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed NRG33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked fnatic72c8,394$6,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.7183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed fnatic67c7,171$4,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.3912648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NRG38c7,092$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed fnatic71c6,216$4,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.9930340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic60c5,673$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.294,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG49c5,116$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.41,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed fnatic67c5,000$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.651,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked fnatic35c4,079$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.693767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed fnatic61c3,852$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.431266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG23c3,849$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.791,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked fnatic70c3,709$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.25862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed fnatic71c3,683$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.94362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed NRG30c3,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0509442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed NRG28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.998042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked fnatic70c3,417$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.8922754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed NRG34c3,119$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed NRG29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8703237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x602a…0d75backed fnatic67c2,975$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.792339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked NRG1c2,590$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.913315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7c…981cbacked fnatic47c2,514$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.424334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked fnatic71c2,500$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked fnatic49c2,210$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.8920855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NRG29c2,110$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.895,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked fnatic63c2,089$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.2461228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed NRG37c2,014$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.969044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked NRG44c2,010$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.1910855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed fnatic71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed NRG39c1,755$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.9726251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed fnatic71c1,710$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.910252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ca…679bbacked NRG30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked NRG31c1,609$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7817148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked fnatic68c1,571$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.2229855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed fnatic72c1,509$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.68366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked NRG30c1,501$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.4423932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1939…22e8backed NRG32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9911840.7%48 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed NRG71c1,482$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0507349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d11…a3b8backed fnatic52c1,448$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked NRG64c1,425$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.7111353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked NRG29c1,388$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked NRG28c1,275$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1211631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d3…45c3backed NRG35c1,207$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7260%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fd1…8257backed NRG29c1,207$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.031963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed NRG29c1,200$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7997230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed fnatic70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3608657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NRG41c1,140$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.151,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic70c1,129$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.771,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked NRG43c1,108$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47918051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed fnatic60c1,100$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.996253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked fnatic71c1,100$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31910442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed NRG38c1,080$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.5130335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed NRG4c1,030$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3932425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked NRG40c1,012$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.335431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed NRG30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed fnatic69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed fnatic71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29013954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3f…da87backed NRG30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3973…b13ebacked NRG28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+107.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed NRG30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed NRG29c981.4$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.356741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked NRG29c950.62$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0719043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed NRG41c918.95$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5313537.8%51 W · 84 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked NRG31c887.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.271,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked NRG30c869.56$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.878436.9%31 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed fnatic38c863.53$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x766c…bb56backed NRG29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked NRG29c839.41$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.436141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b6…38fbbacked fnatic71c801.41$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.41666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed fnatic62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30442142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked NRG43c797.02$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.12948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed NRG38c793.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5e…b4afbacked fnatic78c790.96$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.021471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed NRG29c787.55$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3915442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked NRG28c777$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a6…92c6backed fnatic72c766.67$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.671758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked fnatic71c763.38$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.389753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed fnatic79c755.51$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6610748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed fnatic69c724.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8432653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed fnatic70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.296142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed fnatic69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed fnatic68c700$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed NRG37c699.99$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25711440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed fnatic72c694.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3513461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked NRG34c651$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6118443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed fnatic70c645.12$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9122560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.