CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4765eaca891e80d7429c42ea735171d171e81d5d1d117d8902b2f98e48f2352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof NRG, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed fnatic | 54c | 6,400$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.65 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed NRG | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 32c | 4,601$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.29 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 28c | 4,318$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.17 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed NRG | 46c | 3,749$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.53 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked fnatic | 75c | 2,892$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.96 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked fnatic | 58c | 2,615$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.15 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed fnatic | 58c | 2,012$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed fnatic | 79c | 1,420$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.78 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed NRG | 40c | 1,349$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 39c | 1,242$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.23 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed NRG | 48c | 1,156$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.13 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic | 62c | 891.13$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.63 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed NRG | 39c | 839$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.21 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed fnatic | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked NRG | 54c | 655.02$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked fnatic | 54c | 449.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed NRG | 47c | 421$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…e255backed NRG | 40c | 418$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed fnatic | 58c | 360.34$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…bb87backed fnatic | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked fnatic | 56c | 358.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed NRG | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed fnatic | 75c | 280.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed NRG | 19c | 266.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed NRG | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NRG | 19c | 235$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG | 11c | 207.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed NRG | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed NRG | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed NRG | 48c | 191.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed fnatic | 56c | 179.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed fnatic | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…04c5backed fnatic | 77c | 152.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed fnatic | 55c | 133.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked fnatic | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…917abacked NRG | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked fnatic | 55c | 121.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG | 38c | 115.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked NRG | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed fnatic | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked NRG | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked NRG | 43c | 92.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed NRG | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked fnatic | 39c | 72.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed fnatic | 63c | 69.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked NRG | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked NRG | 41c | 65.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed NRG | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab83…0294backed NRG | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked fnatic | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…851cbacked NRG | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…076dbacked fnatic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked fnatic | 61c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked fnatic | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d55…d5a4backed fnatic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)fnatic won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.