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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Furman Paladinsof Richmond Spiders, Furman Paladins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Richmond Spiders66c56,812$37,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,731.082,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Furman Paladins32c22,631$7,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,336.951656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins55c16,302$8,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,311.85,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins58c9,386$5,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.175,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Richmond Spiders43c6,589$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.782,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Furman Paladins46c6,435$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Richmond Spiders44c6,424$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.052,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Richmond Spiders39c5,500$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.081,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Richmond Spiders38c5,345$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.481,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Furman Paladins35c4,337$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.2212853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins33c3,984$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.0212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Furman Paladins35c3,738$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.494,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Richmond Spiders39c3,589$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Furman Paladins34c2,741$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.816341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Furman Paladins34c1,921$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.8332337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Furman Paladins35c1,905$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.7833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Furman Paladins36c1,700$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.8649043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Furman Paladins75c1,339$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Furman Paladins34c1,217$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.961,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Furman Paladins37c1,185$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.455556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Furman Paladins56c1,080$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Furman Paladins76c1,002$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.717660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Richmond Spiders36c879.21$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7215939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Furman Paladins37c857.31$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.636940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Furman Paladins35c805.45$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.41,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Furman Paladins34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb59e…17d7backed Richmond Spiders21c784.42$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2a…3141backed Richmond Spiders67c645.45$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Furman Paladins34c600.25$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.762,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Furman Paladins35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Richmond Spiders34c542.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7445644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Richmond Spiders26c535.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6816135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Furman Paladins34c525.09$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Furman Paladins37c513.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.511741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ea…f888backed Furman Paladins35c500$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08c…5494backed Furman Paladins35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Furman Paladins69c493.13$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1811136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44e3…6472backed Richmond Spiders15c459.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Furman Paladins34c455$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+74.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Furman Paladins51c447.09$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.092227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Richmond Spiders23c433.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff59…afeabacked Richmond Spiders65c399.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Richmond Spiders50c377.78$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.893836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Furman Paladins34c348$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Furman Paladins34c319.58$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.511,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Richmond Spiders46c314.07$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Richmond Spiders64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d15bbacked Richmond Spiders65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Richmond Spiders41c292.26$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.135949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6722…278cbacked Richmond Spiders50c275$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Furman Paladins36c252$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.527626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Furman Paladins36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Richmond Spiders41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4b…84c9backed Furman Paladins66c233.36$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+94.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Furman Paladins37c231.66$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9552928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Richmond Spiders27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-32.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Furman Paladins38c219.98$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3982048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed Richmond Spiders31c217.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed Furman Paladins34c215.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec20…fb93backed Furman Paladins76c202.55$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e8…fbe3backed Furman Paladins35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Furman Paladins78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Richmond Spiders25c165.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b6…917abacked Richmond Spiders63c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Furman Paladins55c148.81$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Furman Paladins32c140$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.210748.6%52 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Richmond Spiders33c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.25352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Richmond Spiders50c138.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.474447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Furman Paladins34c128$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.481,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Richmond Spiders39c111.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.437844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b08…04c5backed Furman Paladins51c104$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Richmond Spiders10c101.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Furman Paladins34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b0…5663backed Furman Paladins51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Furman Paladins36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6418646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Richmond Spiders31c99.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.447864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…e59abacked Richmond Spiders45c98.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.52524%6 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Richmond Spiders46c97.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.222650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Furman Paladins33c97.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0914035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Richmond Spiders43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Furman Paladins54c92.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Richmond Spiders67c88.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Furman Paladins80c86.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3214925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2d…d45cbacked Richmond Spiders29c85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Furman Paladins57c75.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Furman Paladins63c75.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.795644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bd…56babacked Richmond Spiders19c74.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ce…2972backed Furman Paladins62c74.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Richmond Spiders46c69.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.663050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed Richmond Spiders39c69.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.761250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Richmond Spiders46c63.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Richmond Spiders19c60.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Furman Paladins35c59.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7924432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Richmond Spiders50c55.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.633046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb2…b9cebacked Richmond Spiders50c54.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Richmond Spiders47c53.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x712e…442fbacked Richmond Spiders34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed Richmond Spiders66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Furman Paladins38c49.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.642934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9452…b685backed Furman Paladins37c49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.872040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.