Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f41ddee9fc78260671f7971b6050f1438953a139d603a12c3c7dc5e58b59644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 49c | 2,127$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 837.5$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 528.72$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 50c | 523$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 322$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 56c | 255$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 54c | 195.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 54c | 192.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 25c | 162$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 80.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 68.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 148.5this page
- Richmond Spiders vs. Furman PaladinsFurman Paladins won
- Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 145.5Under won
- Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 146.5Under won
- Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 147.5Under won
- Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Richmond Spiders (-4.5)Furman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.