Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charlotte 49ers vs. Illinois State Redbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c27c642db24ec021a9e1aea61a9005220e39be2b3ed4a0b82fe97a6715fdefd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois State Redbirdsof Charlotte 49ers, Illinois State Redbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte 49ers | 10c | 3,672$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois State Redbirds | 69c | 1,634$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Charlotte 49ers | 25c | 1,060$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Charlotte 49ers | 32c | 719.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Illinois State Redbirds | 78c | 538.59$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Charlotte 49ers | 33c | 436.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 31c | 432.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 323.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 31c | 151.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…c75cbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 67c | 133.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Charlotte 49ers | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Charlotte 49ers | 31c | 100.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Charlotte 49ers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…04c5backed Illinois State Redbirds | 79c | 95.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Charlotte 49ers | 32c | 67.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Charlotte 49ers | 30c | 65.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 28c | 65.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…fb93backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 57.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Charlotte 49ers | 31c | 37.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…2ce2backed Illinois State Redbirds | 69c | 37.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…a765backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 36.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Charlotte 49ers | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Illinois State Redbirds | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Illinois State Redbirds | 69c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…6c18backed Illinois State Redbirds | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…b685backed Illinois State Redbirds | 67c | 27.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…b454backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…baa2backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…9135backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Illinois State Redbirds | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Illinois State Redbirdsthis page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 139.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.