TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Ohio vs. Buffalo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ohioof Ohio, Buffalo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Ohio72c34,763$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,762.5819362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Buffalo28c26,650$7,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,461.8616234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ohio71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Buffalo29c18,587$5,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,385.6993548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Buffalo7c5,844$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Buffalo31c3,587$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.934529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo28c3,432$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.092,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Buffalo30c3,133$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9412055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Ohio69c2,370$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.8310047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Buffalo29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58019849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Buffalo29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9511540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Buffalo28c1,692$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8649443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Buffalo9c1,636$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2821538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Ohio70c1,606$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.882653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Buffalo7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Buffalo12c1,280$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.120553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e48…feb3backed Ohio72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4913…e38ebacked Buffalo30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio71c1,141$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.8952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Ohio69c951$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8181847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Buffalo29c868.7$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9210742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Buffalo28c845.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7448546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Buffalo29c764.77$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.171,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Buffalo16c693.16$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Buffalo29c669.28$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.765945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Buffalo30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Buffalo30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ae…137fbacked Buffalo3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Buffalo7c532.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Buffalo29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14513242.4%56 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Buffalo30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Buffalo29c440$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Buffalo29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Ohio71c340$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.620757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Ohio74c312.77$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.522263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Buffalo9c310$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.119842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Ohio71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Buffalo29c299.91$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.974639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Buffalo29c294.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.387830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Buffalo29c294.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2822030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Ohio71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6910664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Buffalo30c265.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3450358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buffalo10c245.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3357144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Buffalo29c245.54$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2128440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e3…39f0backed Buffalo30c243.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.194252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Buffalo29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e1…d5bcbacked Buffalo29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed Ohio71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0856…e91bbacked Ohio71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Buffalo29c174.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7356844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Buffalo23c160.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3255350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Buffalo17c152.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8626939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Ohio70c151$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.31827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2822…741dbacked Ohio72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…74c8backed Ohio70c142.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Ohio72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ohio71c122$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5129249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Buffalo15c110.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef8…c6b7backed Buffalo11c107.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Buffalo11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Ohio71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…b9f1backed Ohio69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x876b…2161backed Buffalo31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Ohio69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Buffalo29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e4…2f15backed Buffalo29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b4…8cb8backed Ohio71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Ohio70c99.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9914055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Buffalo30c95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.528032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee1a…5a46backed Ohio71c92.19$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.19887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Ohio72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3318868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Buffalo30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7f…361fbacked Buffalo30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204122%9 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bdc…3c75backed Buffalo22c59.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Ohio70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.141060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec20…fb93backed Ohio72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Buffalo29c54.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.916065%39 W · 21 L+10.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8834…a66dbacked Ohio72c51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed Buffalo30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…300cbacked Buffalo29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de2…86e1backed Ohio69c49.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f0…44adbacked Buffalo29c47.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6564…7246backed Ohio71c46.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.488100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b09…f95dbacked Ohio72c45.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab50…8f27backed Ohio71c45.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.071163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6fd…b1e4backed Ohio72c44.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.44988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dfd…0d00backed Ohio71c43.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.661283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed Buffalo26c39.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.184854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc425…6268backed Ohio72c37.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9917…569cbacked Buffalo29c37.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f3…8da0backed Ohio71c37.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+121.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe31b…e34dbacked Ohio71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e9…17a3backed Ohio71c33.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434c…a1b7backed Ohio71c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aca…dfd3backed Ohio70c30.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.194175.6%31 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Ohio72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.47254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2d…24c8backed Ohio69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Ohio71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.177464.9%48 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9904…c9b1backed Ohio71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Ohio71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.