TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee1a…5a46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$13.48
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.79
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.89
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$13.48
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$16.48
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.89
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10.67
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$8.75
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$11.05
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45.51
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.59
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16.47
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$12.06
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.18
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.47
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.6%+$9.51
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$33.64
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$13.07
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$12.06
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.43
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.24
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.69
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39.27
Spread: Flames (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+37%+$9.95
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.79
Canucks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$11.05
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+32.5%+$20.12
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.7%+$20.23
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$22.56
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$11.05
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thailand win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.