NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8edff3ec00536213901b68a133297dac4af40c6e3422aa3bfa4e42972c4d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Devils, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 34c | 1,516$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.44 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blues | 66c | 1,180$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blues | 66c | 283.63$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blues | 69c | 152.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Devils | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Devils | 31c | 75.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Devils | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…8f27backed Blues | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Devils | 32c | 44.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…43d1backed Blues | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Devils | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 65c | 43.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…f95dbacked Blues | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Devils | 31c | 36.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…367fbacked Blues | 68c | 32.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…5157backed Devils | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…53c3backed Blues | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…5a46backed Blues | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. DevilsDevils won
- Blues vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.