College Football · resolved market
Air Force vs. UConn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0daaeddd7771d63034680967a89ea1ddbf29e644e0177acae0ec99f3b39b35a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UConnof Air Force, UConn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Air Force | 28c | 35,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed UConn | 75c | 33,469$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,469.21 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked UConn | 74c | 30,000$22,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Air Force | 25c | 20,095$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.59 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed UConn | 72c | 10,617$7,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.75 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Air Force | 26c | 10,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.99 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Air Force | 26c | 6,832$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.41 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Air Force | 26c | 5,691$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Air Force | 25c | 4,810$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.61 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked UConn | 74c | 4,500$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed UConn | 75c | 4,184$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.01 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UConn | 71c | 3,237$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.03 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Air Force | 21c | 2,777$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.66 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…e210backed UConn | 73c | 1,800$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…fbbcbacked Air Force | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Air Force | 28c | 1,800$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.7 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Air Force | 29c | 1,778$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UConn | 72c | 1,766$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Air Force | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Air Force | 26c | 1,290$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.26 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UConn | 73c | 1,228$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.13 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Air Force | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…cd0dbacked UConn | 73c | 1,123$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed UConn | 75c | 1,093$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.73 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…5941backed Air Force | 28c | 1,075$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…35b1backed Air Force | 1c | 1,070$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed UConn | 72c | 1,000$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Air Force | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Air Force | 24c | 994.28$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.74 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…7e8fbacked Air Force | 32c | 990.05$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed UConn | 72c | 968.03$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.05 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked UConn | 72c | 830.99$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.68 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Air Force | 23c | 730.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Air Force | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…1323backed UConn | 73c | 652.01$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Air Force | 16c | 515.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UConn | 70c | 493.51$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…1230backed Air Force | 28c | 435.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed UConn | 75c | 422.48$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Air Force | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed UConn | 73c | 399.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Air Force | 25c | 392.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Air Force | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Air Force | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked UConn | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Air Force | 33c | 299.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed UConn | 75c | 288.73$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed UConn | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked UConn | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Air Force | 12c | 251.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Air Force | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…bb13backed UConn | 77c | 249.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed UConn | 74c | 231.59$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…edbdbacked Air Force | 12c | 230.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed UConn | 72c | 210.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…1296backed Air Force | 14c | 187.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Air Force | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Air Force | 26c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…a6e2backed UConn | 75c | 137.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed UConn | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked UConn | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked UConn | 74c | 135.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Air Force | 27c | 124.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Air Force | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked UConn | 74c | 102.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Air Force | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed UConn | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…ec5ebacked Air Force | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Air Force | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Air Force | 26c | 99.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Air Force | 26c | 98.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…7d89backed Air Force | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed UConn | 69c | 95.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked UConn | 74c | 93.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Air Force | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed UConn | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked UConn | 74c | 81.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed UConn | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Air Force | 26c | 76.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed UConn | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed UConn | 74c | 67.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed UConn | 78c | 61.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Air Force | 27c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Air Force | 26c | 57.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed UConn | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed UConn | 75c | 53.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…a506backed Air Force | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Air Force | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed9…25f2backed UConn | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…643ebacked UConn | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d53…3635backed UConn | 76c | 47.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed UConn | 74c | 40.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…7246backed UConn | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…5a46backed UConn | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Air Force | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed UConn | 76c | 39.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed UConn | 76c | 33.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed UConn | 78c | 32.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…c75cbacked UConn | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…3a50backed UConn | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Air Force vs. UConnthis page
- Air Force vs. UConn: O/U 64.5Under won
- O/U 63.5Under won
- Spread: UConn (-6.5)UConn won
- Spread: UConn (-7.5)UConn won
- Spread: UConn (-8.5)UConn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.