Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedbe323f3e085ab4df1e6d695d6a43e446b486cda9217fbae3355e59e7c3e205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 36c | 10,738$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.66 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 7,246$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.47 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 5,330$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.98 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 2,754$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.82 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 2,510$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.18 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 2,369$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.44 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 2,249$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.46 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,004$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…e220backed Yes | 38c | 776.32$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 62c | 733.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 647.94$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.32 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 492.58$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 487.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 402.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 68c | 295.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 285.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 35c | 170.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…f54fbacked Yes | 37c | 151.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Yes | 37c | 122.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 66c | 113.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d41fbacked Yes | 36c | 79.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…a5a8backed Yes | 39c | 76.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 76.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…f663backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 65c | 48.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8da…9311backed Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 60c | 35.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 36c | 30.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 73c | 29.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…f7b4backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed No | 66c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 65c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will US Lecce vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.