Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce vs. Torino FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb81761b33bbe83e18b0d443b33befffbfa493c992bfd37008220818d43fa3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 25,852$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.7 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 37c | 1,086$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.1 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Yes | 34c | 882$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 679.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 34c | 588.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…fae1backed No | 68c | 573.53$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…1f93backed No | 68c | 447.06$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 426.3$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 250.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 14c | 210$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…2c3cbacked No | 68c | 202.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 35c | 200.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 13c | 189.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…269fbacked No | 68c | 185.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 168.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 159.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Yes | 32c | 145.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Yes | 16c | 132.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 77c | 117.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 90.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 87.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 16c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 68c | 28.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce vs. Torino FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.