TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes34c73,219$24,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,321.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes30c35,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,499.9910952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No70c25,176$17,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,623.497938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No30c24,684$7,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,325.652828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c23,972$16,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,005.1293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes70c6,593$4,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.1512050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No19c4,999$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.873636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes71c4,312$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.7832843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes30c4,074$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.0745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c3,868$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.481,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c2,675$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c2,622$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.582,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c2,429$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.6935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3dc…889bbacked Yes31c1,610$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No36c1,548$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55259240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4294…a1c8backed No69c1,374$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No32c1,201$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.322560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No69c1,121$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.4121058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6906046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No65c977.73$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.2813639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No70c850$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.417651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c841$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.1427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c724.47$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.3152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82cb…6a34backed No72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes74c589.18$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No58c585.43$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.212365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked No38c510$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.88548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes30c494.69$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2820841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No40c347.32$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3324849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c332.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c301.48$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4833951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.516550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed06…f663backed Yes75c294.4$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c278.04$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked No37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No5c264$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.228931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No62c232.46$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.023658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…21a1backed No69c210$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes32c190$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.26350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77e…5c0fbacked No71c183.59$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes72c181$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3628445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed No69c163.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ab…0e37backed Yes71c148.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes73c139.3$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…fd87backed No39c135.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No62c129.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.814151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked Yes32c121.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed No13c117.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes32c112.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Yes30c107.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes54c104.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5129862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8992…4c76backed Yes30c99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+83.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes31c95.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.112347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed Yes32c90$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.551070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.515954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed No55c83.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No65c75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.963658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…a5a8backed Yes41c74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No69c73.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes31c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.36946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes30c67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+102.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes29c64.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6717543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd4…c04dbacked No22c51.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked No71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed No72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…e5a1backed No69c36.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c36.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes44c32.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2222373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cf5…c116backed Yes74c31.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdea9…be41backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes68c29.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed No70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208456%47 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes35c28.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.378952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51266.7%8 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes65c24.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.622642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143171%22 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec0…82ddbacked No69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No58c18.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.763560%21 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.