TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Como win on 2025-11-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,512

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked No42c7,304$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.5112050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c3,788$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.362,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Yes50c3,137$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes58c2,035$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No61c1,864$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.7224657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes15c1,800$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.023511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No36c1,750$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.6416154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes63c1,575$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes65c1,361$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.985538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes64c1,238$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.1944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes35c1,000$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…5023backed Yes65c999.98$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes65c999.67$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.7924939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes49c950.57$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.783250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes45c905.09$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.517220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No35c874.37$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.341662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No74c789.09$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No36c727.25$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.4422551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…6f8cbacked Yes61c615.31$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37840%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes62c540.9$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.459651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c451.36$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.531,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes65c426.15$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2778548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes62c419$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No43c403.12$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.610260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No34c358.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.386851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes37c332$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.843036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18912540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No34c295$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.714742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes64c240$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9e…12f6backed Yes63c230.48$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes65c222$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.313840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No49c211.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes54c183.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes56c178.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.945343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes29c166.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5424238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked No68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes66c156.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes51c150.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.923953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Yes66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes50c140.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.491118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c0…681cbacked Yes62c136.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b4…0512backed Yes57c131.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes63c130$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.96946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes48c109.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.812422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes59c100.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick27cpaid+121.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdf69…aa05backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c98.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Yes60c98.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5309…1975backed Yes63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes66c94.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1512923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No38c90$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.86055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No34c87.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.619643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.84839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5da7…1474backed Yes48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes66c76.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.27568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…75f2backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a2…a471backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes64c70.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes66c68.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9afd…0aeebacked Yes66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.26350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No42c57.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.089754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes53c56.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No47c56.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.918952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes66c53.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356659.1%39 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133727%10 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.511546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb2…b043backed Yes61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No34c45.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes65c43.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203225%8 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes56c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.391216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4717948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Yes66c38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.082330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7260…fd7ebacked Yes57c36.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff7b…e6b7backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bba…b20fbacked Yes66c32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.