Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e87d9d05162b6a835d1a584cd24a9d061922abda949704fdb8e7cc212ffed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.98 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 9,999$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.35 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 6,953$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.99 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 4,282$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.17 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 3,366$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.16 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 3,100$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Yes | 1c | 2,601$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,936$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.65 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,469$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.32 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,311$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 2c | 853.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 45c | 677.38$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.04 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 57c | 531.81$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.13 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 25c | 358.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.91 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 55c | 335.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.35 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 308.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 18c | 219.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 77c | 210.3$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 207.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 55c | 144.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…8223backed Yes | 54c | 138.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 110.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Yes | 55c | 91.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…f663backed Yes | 79c | 73.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 68.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 55c | 57.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 55c | 49.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 49.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed Yes | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 39c | 43.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Yes | 55c | 42.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 49c | 32.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 50c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.