Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6375fbc8cf18b9c78c8e49e86114cc4e9f20224e6d3c5f66f39aa8327b74e14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 4,701$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.25 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 17c | 3,504$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 2,105$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.34 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 1,700$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 1,422$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 25c | 1,005$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 786$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 715$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 22c | 611.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 23c | 435.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 393.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 79c | 186.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 149.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 146.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 9c | 124.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 117.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 111.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…e434backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 20c | 51.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…ef5fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 80c | 40.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed No | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed No | 80c | 27.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.