TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No14c44,444$6,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,222.161428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes73c35,000$25,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,45010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No27c20,001$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,400.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No28c16,413$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,595.586940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No27c7,357$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.484351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c4,432$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.442,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes72c4,382$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.7727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No27c3,950$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No8c3,407$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.097750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes73c2,911$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No28c2,429$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6805641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes74c2,340$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes72c2,039$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.0733357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Yes73c1,556$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.16366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab89…aa9bbacked Yes72c1,542$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No28c1,500$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5224939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked No29c1,386$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.866046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes72c1,340$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes74c1,168$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No27c1,100$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ed…8836backed Yes73c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No26c900$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23422551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes73c892.79$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No29c862$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.145632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No12c801$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.124337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No27c699.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes74c678.08$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0115550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Yes72c608$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No27c553$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.312744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes72c521.63$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3838744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No29c502.4$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1463641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes73c489.7$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.225658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed No12c400$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+118.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No26c397.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4511832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes29c349.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.385947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No28c334.44$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.979037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No28c325$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes73c304.11$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8112540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No27c260.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.374242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes72c223.32$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.536851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8412422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes73c186.39$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5120841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.415740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f3…c87fbacked No19c157.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes73c157$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3913840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c147.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.238620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed06…f663backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9914254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…cf95backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes72c126.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3519549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2110736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed No28c117.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No13c114.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0724849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Yes73c105.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.173956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes32c103.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.133036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes31c93.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.555450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfac5…9782backed No28c81.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No26c73.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.082941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.497568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e96…8e0fbacked Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a4…a580backed Yes72c66.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95e9…37dcbacked No29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.563461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes72c55.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.181464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7210951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x899b…c8d4backed Yes71c49.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc728…88bcbacked Yes72c40.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.623353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4362…d448backed Yes70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No28c37.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.429149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0317…5606backed Yes72c36.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8af…09edbacked Yes73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.73951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x541b…e50fbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb866…6eaabacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2f…7976backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…3b85backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…fd09backed Yes73c26.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d66…adf4backed Yes72c22.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.