TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Inter win on 2025-11-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes74c54,983$40,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,299.072,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked No27c32,560$8,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,791.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No27c14,523$3,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes73c14,523$10,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.213259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No27c13,787$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.375641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.983839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No27c8,800$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.96940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes74c5,553$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.822568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.885761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c2,951$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No27c2,050$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No25c2,028$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.0724657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Yes73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.083423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3784259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No27c1,263$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes73c1,195$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6216154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes73c1,145$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.355538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No19c1,100$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2134126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes71c1,034$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c995.46$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.36033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No31c829.22$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.061662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes72c694.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9312950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Yes74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed No26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes74c495.13$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.646165.6%40 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes73c489.97$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.293850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No3c466.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No7c418.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes74c410.08$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6210650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No27c374.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed No27c370.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes74c346.95$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes73c342.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.572360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked Yes73c328.23$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.933661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No27c299.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8112649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No27c294.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4211832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes74c254.35$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.132259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No28c249.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.989643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed8…0742backed Yes74c218.91$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes73c201.3$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3516045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No31c199.46$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.888620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No11c190.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes74c169$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.944776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d83…ac87backed Yes73c165.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d51…409bbacked No27c140.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf614…689abacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3b…7e31backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a8…96d2backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb150…ac78backed Yes74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+160.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No26c129.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Yes72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x716d…eaf2backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+58.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec15…37a7backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x132a…79aebacked Yes73c99.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.781457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes73c99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7313840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No29c95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.14839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed No28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c84.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cc…9f53backed Yes73c84.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes71c80.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.519651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4788…4a13backed Yes74c79.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No28c79.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1712923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No28c79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No29c75.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.978952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa903…bcd2backed No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf914…4a78backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes74c67.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6411546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed No29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7250…418cbacked No28c57.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+64.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No28c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1210163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…df55backed No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9833…1e38backed Yes73c48.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.19366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Yes73c46.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.581457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4470…7351backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53f6…dbf6backed No28c41.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16659.1%39 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf24…0039backed Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2b…a44cbacked Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Yes72c38.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.891163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.