TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes30c6,000$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.9912055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No48c5,329$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.2828659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes44c2,989$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.111533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c2,647$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01246644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c2,532$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.64277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c2,103$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.5922652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c2,100$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.1713933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Yes29c1,724$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c1,700$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.5398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes22c1,637$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.081442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8554025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No40c1,470$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes43c1,157$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes21c1,128$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c1,014$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.6547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No72c1,010$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.712250%11 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c1,005$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes31c1,000$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes46c983.17$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2622852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…f3b8backed No71c743.54$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes44c599.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.997536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4f7…314abacked No39c576.92$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes25c533.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes39c514.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+84.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes3c505$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick19cpaid+147%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c501.36$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6433444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes62c499.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No74c465.93$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7611750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes39c436.87$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes61c400$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No58c396.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.276969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.748949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes57c390.78$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0830055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No44c298.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.682751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes60c268.52$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.112035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No72c255.42$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.522343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c240.73$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4319345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes52c233.05$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No19c211.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.921275%9 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.54per pick21cpaid+326.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x241e…2de2backed No44c181.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes61c179.21$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.326746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa022…22f1backed No68c165.62$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes62c161.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.431637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes49c152.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.287631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes9c150.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.691827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed06…f663backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No37c143.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.424148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes48c130.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.711625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed No58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes51c116.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…c8f2backed No67c109.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No41c107.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.644100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Yes29c104.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes64c101.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x878c…529ebacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.434852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…7616backed Yes63c87.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+62.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Yes32c80.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No39c79.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.327549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes24c74.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes34c74.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed No67c73.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d8…dd19backed No40c67.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes34c62.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…a521backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes60c60.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.03812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick56cpaid-76.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes38c59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4260%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No71c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes44c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+73.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41e8…5394backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…8262backed No40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7669…595cbacked Yes38c42.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed Yes46c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes33c39.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes60c39.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.464447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x932d…68d5backed No79c34.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed No40c32.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec5…14debacked Yes42c32.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…63cbbacked Yes48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x709f…a1e4backed No62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Yes60c28.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked No46c27.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.066373%46 W · 17 L+19.0wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.