Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb328a72ede2b750f2281914bcc5fb5abb9135be3a80248884e39eb4cdda48f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 11,011$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…8133backed Yes | 18c | 2,150$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 19c | 999.69$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 841.26$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.05 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7d…840fbacked Yes | 18c | 640$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed Yes | 18c | 565$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 485.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 19c | 468.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 18c | 200.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 182.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 124.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…ee97backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 90.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 17c | 68.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…1148backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.