La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4670bd71e31250edeac098546944bed3c04a3be6370845e962545a78ac14a239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $712,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 49c | 255,290$125,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,819.42 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 100,541$51,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,069.24 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.98 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 52c | 40,000$20,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,600 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 49c | 32,627$15,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,641.12 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 28,512$14,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,127.09 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 48c | 27,321$13,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,244.97 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.95 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 54c | 21,348$11,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,555.38 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Yes | 47c | 20,000$9,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,635.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 48c | 16,667$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 48c | 16,356$7,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850.81 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 50c | 14,286$7,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,143.04 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 13,755$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,992.15 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 11,578$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,789.14 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 11,438$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 52c | 9,450$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed No | 50c | 9,100$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 46c | 8,165$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 50c | 8,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.91 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 7,470$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.11 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 6,711$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.33 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 6,285$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.56 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.98 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 51c | 5,935$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Yes | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 47c | 5,800$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 5,100$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.49 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 5,029$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.94 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 50c | 4,497$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.18 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,292$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.22 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 51c | 4,265$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 47c | 4,043$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 49c | 3,920$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.97 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 74c | 2,901$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.12 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 52c | 2,500$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed No | 51c | 2,472$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 51c | 2,324$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,138$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.46 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.58 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed No | 48c | 1,912$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 1,750$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.49 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 50c | 1,638$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.84 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,286$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.71 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked No | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 47c | 1,129$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.43 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 45c | 1,073$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.21 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 55c | 996.3$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 55c | 862$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.1 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 47c | 854.4$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 49c | 816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 49c | 806.12$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 51c | 783.98$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 51c | 664.71$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.71 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 47c | 568.01$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.05 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 51c | 540$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 51c | 539.93$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 53c | 517.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.54 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 50c | 511.45$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.73 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 43c | 500$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 49c | 499.95$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 8c | 488.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 477.27$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…37e8backed Yes | 52c | 449.96$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.