Euroleague · resolved market
Granada vs. Bilbao Basket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d96780f115215b2906ef42700e2b3466506ccffeb9eac9bce9e93f9b6f48adf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilbao Basketof Granada, Bilbao Basket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Granada | 47c | 1,300$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.07 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Granada | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5925…e994backed Bilbao Basket | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Bilbao Basket | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac2…7b23backed Granada | 7c | 578$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Bilbao Basket | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…d860backed Granada | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…7f19backed Bilbao Basket | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Granada | 40c | 247.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bilbao Basket | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Bilbao Basket | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Bilbao Basket | 68c | 73.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Granada | 52c | 67.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Bilbao Basket | 60c | 62.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Granada | 42c | 43.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bilbao Basket | 56c | 42.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Bilbao Basket | 66c | 41.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Bilbao Basket | 52c | 34.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bilbao Basket | 48c | 31.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Granada | 33c | 31.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…21ccbacked Granada | 45c | 30.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.