TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No28c29,731$8,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,220.993,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c28,800$8,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,639.968545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes70c9,252$6,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.6310360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes64c7,500$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7001560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes71c7,363$5,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.171346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1815…2d9dbacked Yes71c4,756$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No36c4,645$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.22552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a47…0c54backed Yes65c4,612$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No6c3,918$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No26c2,887$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes70c2,854$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No35c2,178$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.4315947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes70c2,178$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.4233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70027939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No29c1,900$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.055846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes64c1,900$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6841957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes66c1,728$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No28c1,489$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.8721925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No29c1,300$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.982931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes77c1,299$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1312166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes70c1,250$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes65c1,220$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.972254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes68c1,148$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3233847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes71c1,137$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.738743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c1,137$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.142,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7612336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0007…3545backed No36c902.78$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No34c728.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9510860.2%65 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes71c712$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.482737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes71c709.86$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked No36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No35c684$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.210554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No30c599.94$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.989852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f52…8dd4backed No30c576$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No27c545$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.536219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c542.26$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0331849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes65c500$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1773253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14513327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9910332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed Yes69c489.18$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x455f…bd63backed Yes69c467.89$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes69c465$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9819934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes74c416.44$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7642844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes70c399.94$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed No7c371.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No29c338.26$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0944952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No23c313.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4311644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef74…a189backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No26c300$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes68c292.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.362560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No30c291.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.929855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.714052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes71c267.62$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes77c267$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.655060%30 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes69c249.23$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.477550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe7…038dbacked No7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd224…9f9bbacked No24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes70c200.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.575030%15 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+59.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9047…b9d2backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11c5…f12dbacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18de…68a7backed Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No29c199.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9921243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes77c197.66$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes66c197.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.31855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes70c181.14$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.343339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-62.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes66c152.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.261729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.56942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes71c141.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8887…4bdebacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes69c139.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3920056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No18c135.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes64c134.38$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes68c120.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.62885.7%24 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+40.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes71c118.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.312937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No12c118.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No28c118.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5110143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.692152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.