Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c15629c295327436c02b92c55e9f2206d3361e53903ffcdbff5c2efb13e1a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 37c | 104,472$38,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,647.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 64c | 54,051$34,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,699 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 46,300$30,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,920.35 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 41,897$26,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,556.4 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 37c | 34,267$12,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,678.88 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed No | 32c | 32,661$10,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,567.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 37c | 32,303$11,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,952.11 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 36c | 31,278$11,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,259.98 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 28,493$18,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,401.77 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 63c | 28,051$17,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,384.54 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 37c | 18,387$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803.14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 13,610$8,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.9 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 40c | 13,600$5,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.33 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 39c | 9,640$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.79 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 6,514$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 40c | 4,750$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed No | 37c | 4,700$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 4,565$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.35 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 36c | 4,134$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 80c | 3,727$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.3 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 3,530$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.23 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 64c | 3,146$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.11 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 2,774$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.39 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 20c | 2,592$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 63c | 2,250$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 63c | 2,118$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.69 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,985$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.45 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 60c | 1,846$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 1,736$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 61c | 1,692$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 1,606$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.68 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 61c | 1,596$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 61c | 1,541$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 37c | 1,533$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.16 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 1,438$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 36c | 1,326$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 61c | 1,303$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 38c | 1,226$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 60c | 1,175$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…4c34backed Yes | 61c | 1,147$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 61c | 1,100$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1749…797fbacked No | 41c | 1,034$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 40c | 1,005$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 60c | 1,002$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.59 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 63c | 999.24$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.69 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 7c | 940.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 61c | 925.89$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.05 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 61c | 888.74$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.19 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 6c | 888.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 61c | 873.36$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…12c5backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 62c | 809.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 40c | 809$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 62c | 784.25$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.78 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 3c | 704.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 64c | 640$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 63c | 632.9$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 628.64$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.46 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 603.6$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 74c | 600$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 62c | 550.92$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 61c | 527$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 64c | 521.88$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 62c | 486.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked No | 28c | 476.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed No | 37c | 454.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 72c | 450.73$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 37c | 450$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 37c | 450$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 80c | 436$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Yes | 60c | 426.12$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked No | 38c | 420.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 40c | 402.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 64c | 391.58$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 40c | 387.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 67c | 386.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 30c | 360.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 350$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.