Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0595473589570f3586a900b0fe19af818bfb4a19062f733a7359eae47fe8e456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 17c | 11,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 6,644$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 19c | 5,600$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 3,995$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.15 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 19c | 2,777$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.63 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 16c | 2,605$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 20c | 2,380$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.04 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,038$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.77 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 1,920$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 17c | 1,850$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 1,831$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.27 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…be97backed Yes | 8c | 1,256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,182$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…4145backed Yes | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 20c | 1,025$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 10c | 1,021$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 11c | 842$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…722cbacked Yes | 17c | 823.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 3c | 770$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 3c | 587.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df7…d1a2backed Yes | 20c | 540$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 471$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 17c | 465.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 17c | 430.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 18c | 399.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 19c | 380.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 360.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fc…30eebacked Yes | 18c | 298.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 15c | 296.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 280.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 20c | 270.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 19c | 255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 17c | 252$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes | 20c | 225.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 210.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 162.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 17c | 138.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 80c | 119$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 15c | 115.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 19c | 115.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…e5f9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…0f91backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…81cdbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…accfbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 19c | 70.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…a837backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…3e20backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.