Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e49b460d3055cbb8918dc3dc39914a9520aab7c46ca83b8b42be68f222ee896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 31,387$6,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 5,203$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.73 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 4,047$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.78 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 3,002$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.66 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 80c | 2,600$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 20c | 1,850$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 20c | 598.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 21c | 568.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 5c | 403.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 79c | 238.09$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 13c | 233.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked No | 80c | 190.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 7c | 169.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 169.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…e820backed Yes | 14c | 143.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 130.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1032backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 79c | 95.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e94…f7bfbacked Yes | 23c | 87.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 79.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 22c | 78.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 59.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 51.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 79c | 41.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 79c | 29.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 79c | 28.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.