La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6c9a3bcb9d8d4721539f873104bc97199914c1fef28d659ca93d3ef69335e30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 4,200$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 63c | 1,003$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.65 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 38c | 841.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.67 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 35c | 769.21$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.36 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 56c | 599.82$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.9 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 428$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c5…3aa4backed No | 50c | 411.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 61c | 395$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 62c | 361.05$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 62c | 319.35$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 38c | 318.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 62c | 304$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 62c | 276.68$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.54 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 63c | 226.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 51c | 224.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…35dcbacked Yes | 53c | 223$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 7c | 214.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 27c | 183.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 173.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Yes | 62c | 173.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -43%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…3508backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 59c | 154.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 148.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 116.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 36c | 111.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked No | 57c | 91.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 50c | 91.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 62c | 83.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Yes | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 30c | 57.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…b7fdbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 62c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 62c | 42.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…77dbbacked Yes | 62c | 40.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…3d09backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…dcffbacked Yes | 62c | 22.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cf…7556backed Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed Yes | 60c | 18.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.