TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c13,340$5,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,192.264,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over55c2,730$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.4920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c2,595$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.173,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over55c1,817$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.563040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under20c1,255$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.042138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under19c1,076$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3610245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over45c999.95$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+91%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over51c975.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6816149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c897.04$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.151,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe7f…9127backed Over48c788.15$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over49c761.22$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.222330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over55c721.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.322236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c633.55$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe064…ec5bbacked Under53c620.75$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Over3c605.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.075143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2942050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe309…958dbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Under51c487.14$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21611037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4d…4eeebacked Over45c330.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+51.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over51c295.19$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.692045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under19c285.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.315735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over54c259.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9622357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over46c241.3$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c234.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.411,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4042458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.093724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under45c195.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5257252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over52c191.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c191.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.651,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Over57c174.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.384452.3%23 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+105.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x43f9…d4e6backed Over53c170.19$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Over60c170$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c159.16$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over48c135.55$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6512044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over37c133.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.372619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Over53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.13548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4511741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over48c119.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3920945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over45c111$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.053076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d99…3508backed Over55c103.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Over50c100.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.21080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+72.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under51c99.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9925551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over54c94.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.625072%36 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6315034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over49c81.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5819130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over45c71.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.112259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over77c66.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2338748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over47c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.846752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Over45c57.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.421553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Over49c51.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae4d…254ebacked Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a4…3fd8backed Under56c48.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over52c44.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.028252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Under32c43.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over49c42.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.773432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over49c41.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1714850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef4b…f8babacked Under37c40.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under42c39.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.773040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over51c39.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.368958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over52c38.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5910155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7217458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Under37c33.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4420…23c9backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under49c29.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over50c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.644461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb02…cceabacked Over68c26.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+152.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under53c25.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.583345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82763%17 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e8…c577backed Over80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over80c24.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.935761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over80c14.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8420452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over79c13.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.869570.5%67 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.