La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a1fc9061fc8f942ba15d13e6676c9f3a52efb7a93e8285c6a7ddfcae5e97228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 58c | 121,624$70,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,482.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 41,080$17,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,826.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 33,373$15,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,755.64 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 57c | 30,111$17,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,162.04 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 23,956$10,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,734.26 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 22,179$9,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,865.88 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 48c | 13,747$6,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.09 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 42c | 11,111$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.38 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 43c | 5,714$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 43c | 4,210$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…2079backed Over | 57c | 3,693$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 1c | 3,668$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.47 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 46c | 3,287$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.76 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 41c | 2,148$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 2,033$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.05 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 42c | 2,027$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.28 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 42c | 1,835$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 56c | 1,516$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Over | 57c | 1,152$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.42 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 5c | 1,100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Over | 52c | 1,091$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.69 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 48c | 1,019$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.12 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 57c | 999$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.43 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 944.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 58c | 723.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.91 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 58c | 718.73$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.86 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 57c | 703.14$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 43c | 604$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.28 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 31c | 600$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 42c | 599.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 42c | 540$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 43c | 421.95$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.51 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 42c | 420$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 42c | 420$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 42c | 420$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 56c | 409.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 44c | 395.45$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 57c | 382.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 31c | 356.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 18c | 344.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under | 43c | 340$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 42c | 330$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 42c | 330$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 57c | 300.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 28c | 297.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 290.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 20c | 249.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 21c | 235.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 42c | 229.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Over | 57c | 207.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Over | 47c | 174.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 41c | 170.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.