Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8e5c1f481600b0b861f534424c2138507416bb5ac0be0ea2310a8da91f475e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Saski Baskonia | 65c | 1,746$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.17 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Saski Baskonia | 53c | 1,364$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.97 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Olimpia Milano | 50c | 1,254$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.88 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 34c | 1,119$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.31 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Olimpia Milano | 38c | 594.11$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saski Baskonia | 63c | 592.84$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saski Baskonia | 65c | 548.01$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Olimpia Milano | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Olimpia Milano | 45c | 475$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Saski Baskonia | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 393.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Olimpia Milano | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olimpia Milano | 29c | 347.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Olimpia Milano | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Saski Baskonia | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Saski Baskonia | 52c | 230.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Olimpia Milano | 51c | 222.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Olimpia Milano | 48c | 208.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…fccdbacked Olimpia Milano | 48c | 168.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 141.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 126.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saski Baskonia | 62c | 114.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Saski Baskonia | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saski Baskonia | 51c | 94.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Saski Baskonia | 50c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Saski Baskonia | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Saski Baskonia | 55c | 28.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…a0a5backed Olimpia Milano | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Saski Baskonia | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed Olimpia Milano | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 58cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…81a0backed Olimpia Milano | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.