TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$425,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes61c131,369$80,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No42c78,781$33,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,692.7311848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c37,306$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,805.2393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes58c30,000$17,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,40010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No42c28,464$11,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,508.926940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No39c15,840$6,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,643.635369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No42c14,014$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,128.157938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No39c12,820$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,820.29150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No52c12,281$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,920.2912050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c11,047$6,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,453.5327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No43c10,000$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.994658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No54c9,449$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,346.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c9,290$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.231,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes58c8,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,64020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No39c7,307$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,457.2752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes19c6,571$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c6,018$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c4,430$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.8796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No41c3,997$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.9222551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No50c3,972$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes58c3,862$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fb…0a53backed Yes38c3,424$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No65c3,416$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.997444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf2…f1c6backed Yes59c3,406$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.934860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes58c2,931$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes58c2,862$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes42c2,551$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c2,531$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.7712452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c2,501$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.222910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes58c2,419$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.4638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed No43c2,400$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No41c2,106$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.645641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes53c2,080$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.566046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes54c1,806$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f9b…4193backed No41c1,710$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed Yes59c1,708$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes59c1,684$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes58c1,567$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.9633357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No53c1,498$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.3459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No42c1,391$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.645933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No39c1,341$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.2117543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes59c1,327$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-60.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.028251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes58c1,141$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.7817651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c1,108$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49622237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61033148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2250…cba6backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No40c999$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.6510152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed Yes58c929.31$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes58c927.68$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.788659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes57c905.56$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.7944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes58c888$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.041573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No42c778.57$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes26c768.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No39c718$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.984261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes58c704.2$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.4141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes57c700$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes14c676.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.748334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes58c660.86$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No57c658.78$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.711428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3422433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes26c596.37$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.255856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No40c561.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.826347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Yes58c539.69$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.021729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Yes59c507.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes59c504.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No42c499.97$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9812540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea63…f54fbacked Yes58c464.84$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.611040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No42c463.54$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.855658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes22c458.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes59c416.95$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes45c410.72$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.623658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes50c402.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No40c400$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2424355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No40c398$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.928556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No50c384.44$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes41c372.25$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.052259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No41c367$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.533164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ad7…f012backed Yes50c360.79$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes50c301.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.966946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17714254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No40c299$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4718459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes22c277.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes45c266.46$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.