Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8049354179c5b193526b3c78edcc53fda2937870e3d9900067c25aec368434a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 60c | 5,733$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 73c | 4,445$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 3,211$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.09 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 27c | 2,008$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 26c | 1,603$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.84 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 39c | 1,510$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.09 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 61c | 1,334$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.93 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,009$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.01 | 2,023 | 39.4%798 W · 1,225 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 936$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.43 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 901.68$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.6 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 719.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 504.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 360 | 46.4%167 W · 193 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 419.35$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 405.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 431 | 58.5%252 W · 179 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 57c | 370$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 38c | 307.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 55c | 304.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 72c | 203.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 190.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 28c | 108.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 48c | 73.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…5adabacked Yes | 21c | 61.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Yes | 70c | 56.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…8297backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Yes | 43c | 37.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed No | 45c | 34.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 46c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c13…3d2bbacked No | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.