Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077818ac9246319fd3e2e0ba304014ccc61f26dc52aa747f052a3f6aadbeb7a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,385 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 4,662$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 729.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 69c | 727$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.02 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 69c | 725.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 9cpaid | +324.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 28c | 359.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 6c | 205.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 31c | 192.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Over | 64c | 180$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Under | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…5ea9backed Over | 65c | 70.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 67.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Over | 74c | 58.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 69c | 55.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…d06cbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 43.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 39.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed Over | 69c | 35.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 67c | 25.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…9b72backed Over | 69c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…d203backed Over | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.