Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f5ab9c408051112f8305f4712938c23fd1008af7865e905c716ee8561104d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,842 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 6,503$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.11 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 4,545$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.93 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 36c | 4,156$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.83 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 29c | 2,099$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 80c | 1,769$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.85 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 22c | 1,249$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 19c | 1,155$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 1,150$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.68 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 972.08$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.7 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 30c | 833.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 613.32$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.98 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 80c | 412.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Under | 63c | 350.5$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 19c | 249$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 27c | 245.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 33c | 243.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Over | 13c | 231.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Over | 36c | 220.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 78c | 216.7$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 18c | 170.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 169.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 9c | 153.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 72c | 153.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 72c | 144.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 23c | 120.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Over | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…c7b4backed Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 62c | 107.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 65c | 100.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 20c | 90.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 73c | 89.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 21c | 82.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 20c | 75.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 65c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 56.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 72c | 28.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 66c | 22.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…ce3fbacked Under | 72c | 21.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 75c | 20.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 76c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 78c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Under | 78c | 16.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Under | 64c | 15.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 74c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.